Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 15.792182 17.862765 20.048158 22.521178 25.236370 28.121098 31.412059
2025-02-02 13.922674 16.988743 20.419617 24.521109 29.267699 34.564594 40.898061
2025-02-09 12.060826 15.777021 20.161116 25.662335 32.324486 40.073563 49.706055
2025-02-16 10.157249 14.206221 19.228610 25.820610 34.139972 44.180798 57.094230
2025-02-23 8.422157 12.575352 17.982359 25.387033 35.096047 47.214828 63.283669
2025-03-02 7.098170 11.281872 16.982942 25.103101 36.126415 50.305772 69.619826
2025-03-09 6.151142 10.365918 16.357013 25.200224 37.583419 53.939709 76.747312
2025-03-16 5.268432 9.412849 15.554570 24.939361 38.476335 56.809056 82.937701
2025-03-23 4.888889 9.171921 15.741357 26.066361 41.318154 62.386953 92.935785
2025-03-30 4.361076 8.617513 15.386786 26.340954 42.921259 66.290430 100.765305
2025-04-06 3.684285 7.716490 14.391710 25.543454 42.872051 67.825336 105.315958
2025-04-13 3.081155 6.853050 13.358150 24.578868 42.474126 68.790488 109.036822
2025-04-20 2.894706 6.741950 13.586008 25.676963 45.334236 74.689665 120.166091
2025-04-27 2.894301 6.987746 14.446557 27.866756 50.005442 83.451651 135.768067
2025-05-04 2.743977 6.915622 14.736053 29.112007 53.232982 90.165140 148.579358
2025-05-11 2.458888 6.525287 14.410393 29.275203 54.713553 94.269830 157.637462
2025-05-18 2.128472 5.984516 13.746630 28.787884 55.082932 96.654541 164.160825
2025-05-25 1.860179 5.535527 13.207059 28.469204 55.694053 99.409937 171.302045
2025-06-01 1.668830 5.231927 12.918059 28.574269 57.006514 103.290524 180.253883
2025-06-08 1.463109 4.856214 12.440738 28.283878 57.605182 106.027091 187.481501
2025-06-15 1.410406 4.862104 12.760187 29.530703 60.949512 113.315385 202.056365
2025-06-22 1.285673 4.655871 12.603133 29.834003 62.617752 117.895599 212.441230
2025-06-29 1.089402 4.213101 11.877052 28.951072 62.089590 118.800770 216.946274